It looks like he will win but his lead is small in all 3 rust belt states (if you believe polling which is always skewed against Trump) - so she needs to hit a team parlay of all small underdogs - odds suck for her but not 100/1 - Trump just needs PA, WI or MI - does not really look like Nevada means anything either way unless shit got wacky
No way of knowing this for sure but I think in '16 and '20 a lot of polled Trump supporters were reluctant to declare themselves as such.
But I think the stigma has relaxed some recently meaning those polled will be more likely to declare their support for Trump now.
Don't expect the polls to be very far from the actual vote this time. Building past year's polling inaccuracies in favor of Trump into this year's expectations may well be folly.
Be sure to vote.
But I think the stigma has relaxed some recently meaning those polled will be more likely to declare their support for Trump now.
Don't expect the polls to be very far from the actual vote this time. Building past year's polling inaccuracies in favor of Trump into this year's expectations may well be folly.
Be sure to vote.
I think the polls are gonna be off 5 plus - all of the media still associates anyone voting for Trump as a white nationalist - no one wants to admit they are voting for Trump because of this - in 2020 the polls had Biden winning AZ by 10 points and he won by less than one half of one point - and this was all in the scam of mass COVID mail in voting
Kelly Ann Conway described it as a narrow landslide meaning it looks like he is gonna win most of the swing states (or all) by a point or two but win the electoral votes by a fuck ton - I would like to see him win Virginia or New Hampshire or some states no one imagined so it's just a fuck off and proof that the 2020 mass mail in was bogus
Kelly Ann Conway described it as a narrow landslide meaning it looks like he is gonna win most of the swing states (or all) by a point or two but win the electoral votes by a fuck ton - I would like to see him win Virginia or New Hampshire or some states no one imagined so it's just a fuck off and proof that the 2020 mass mail in was bogus
I think this election is going to look a lot like 1980
An incumbent with a horrible record loses by a significant margin when everyone thought it was going to be close
And by 2028, like 1984, the incumbent party wins in a landslide because things are so damn good. Trump would have won in a landslide in 2020 if not for the pandemic, pandemic voting laws, and George Floyd
The fringes kick and scream, but it's the middle that decides these things
An incumbent with a horrible record loses by a significant margin when everyone thought it was going to be close
And by 2028, like 1984, the incumbent party wins in a landslide because things are so damn good. Trump would have won in a landslide in 2020 if not for the pandemic, pandemic voting laws, and George Floyd
The fringes kick and scream, but it's the middle that decides these things
If the LeBozzies don't cheat he wins no problem.
For what it's worth, we thought that there was going to be a red wave in 2022, and there should have been. The SC overturning Roe vs Wade enabled the left to argue that there would be a nationwide ban on abortions. Two years later, that has been proven to be another lie. And they did take the House. But still, the votes have be counted
